National League | Gameweek 46

May 5, 2025 at 3pm UK

York Road

Maidenhead
3 - 0
Boston

McCoulsky (33', 66'), Abrahams (90+2')
De Havilland (37'), Abrahams (90+3'), Abrahams (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

De Havilland (65'), Scott (70')

Coverage of the National League clash between Maidenhead United and Boston United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidenhead United

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-2 Maidenhead
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Boston United

All competitions

Last Game: Boston 2-1 Gateshead
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.

Result
Maidenhead United	Draw	Boston United
37.3% ( 0.83)	25.6% ( 0.12)	37.11% ( -0.94)

Both teams to score 55.63% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.61% (

-0.51)

48.39% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.47% (

-0.46)

70.53% (

0.47)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.64% (

0.22)

25.36% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.85% (

0.31)

60.15% (

-0.31)

Boston United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.54% (

-0.75)

25.47% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.7% (

-1.04)

60.3% (

1.04)

Score Analysis

Maidenhead United 37.3%

Boston United 37.11%

Draw 25.6%

Maidenhead United	Draw	Boston United
1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.3%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.11%