Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.