National League | Gameweek 20

Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Chigwell Construction Stadium

Dag & Red
3 - 2
Aldershot

Pereira (52' pen.), Woodhouse (58'), Morias (77')
Vincent (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tetek (83'), Barham (90+1')
Widdrington (53')
Widdrington (57')

Coverage of the National League clash between Dagenham & Redbridge and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Tamworth 2-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Aldershot Town

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Aldershot 2-1 Altrincham
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dagenham & Redbridge would win this match.

Result
Dagenham & Redbridge	Draw	Aldershot Town
44.14% ( 1.38)	23.04% ( 0.29)	32.82% ( -1.67)

Both teams to score 64.04% (

-1.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.91% (

-2.01)

37.09% (

2.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.72% (

-2.2)

59.29% (

2.21)

Dagenham & Redbridge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.72% (

-0.25)

17.28% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.38% (

-0.46)

47.63% (

0.47)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.42% (

-1.83)

22.58% (

1.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.82% (

-2.8)

56.18% (

2.81)

Score Analysis

Dagenham & Redbridge 44.14%

Aldershot Town 32.82%

Draw 23.03%

Dagenham & Redbridge	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.6) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.1) Other @ 4.13% Total : 44.14%	1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.37) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.03%	1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.19) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.27% Total : 32.82%