Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dagenham & Redbridge would win this match.