Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.