Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Wrexham |
20.45% | 22.29% | 57.26% |
Both teams to score 54.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.94% | 44.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.56% | 66.44% |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.51% | 35.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.75% | 72.25% |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.85% | 15.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.26% | 43.73% |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 5.57% 2-1 @ 5.45% 2-0 @ 2.89% 3-1 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.77% 3-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.9% Total : 20.45% | 1-1 @ 10.51% 0-0 @ 5.38% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-2 @ 9.57% 1-3 @ 6.24% 0-3 @ 6.02% 2-3 @ 3.23% 1-4 @ 2.94% 0-4 @ 2.84% 2-4 @ 1.53% 1-5 @ 1.11% 0-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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