Yeovil Town
National League South | Gameweek 19
Nov 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Huish Park Stadium

Yeovil
4 - 2
Farnborough

Murphy (20'), Young (42', 59', 90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Saied (45+1'), Hall (90+2')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Yeovil Town and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Yeovil Town

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 2-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South

Farnborough Town

All competitions
Last Game: Farnborough 1-1 Weymouth
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 51.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Farnborough Town win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.

Result
Yeovil TownDrawFarnborough Town
51.36% (0.065999999999995 0.07)24.91% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)23.73% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.79% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.57% (0.082000000000001 0.08)51.43% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76% (0.073 0.07)73.24% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Yeovil Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (0.058999999999997 0.06)20.02% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.78% (0.097000000000001 0.1)52.22% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.51% (0.014000000000003 0.01)36.49% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.72% (0.013000000000002 0.01)73.28% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Yeovil Town 51.36%
    Farnborough Town 23.73%
    Draw 24.91%
Yeovil TownDrawFarnborough Town
1-0 @ 11.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.45% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 51.36%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 23.73%