Weymouth
National League South | Gameweek 46
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium

Weymouth
1 - 2
Farnborough

Roberts (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Holmes (36'), Pendlebury (75')
Pruti (47')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Truro City 0-0 Weymouth
Thursday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 0-1 Taunton Town
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 0-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Weymouth win it was 2-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Farnborough Town in this match.

Result
WeymouthDrawFarnborough Town
18.69% (-0.061 -0.06)19.91% (-0.032 -0.03)61.4% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 60.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.32% (0.063000000000002 0.06)35.68% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.25% (0.068999999999996 0.07)57.75% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)32.37% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.11% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)68.89% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.76% (0.043999999999997 0.04)11.24% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.18% (0.096000000000004 0.1)35.82% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 18.69%
    Farnborough Town 61.4%
    Draw 19.91%
WeymouthDrawFarnborough Town
2-1 @ 5.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 18.69%
1-1 @ 8.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.64% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.91%
1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 8.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.14% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.33% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.03% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-4 @ 3.9% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.46% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.71% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.51% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 61.4%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Farnborough
1-1
Weymouth
Pendlebury (68' pen.)
Goodship (23')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Farnborough
3-1
Weymouth
Robinson (10'), Grant (33'), Page (62')
Sesay (72')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Weymouth
0-1
Farnborough
Ball (45+1')