National League South | Gameweek 30

Apr 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Treyew Road

Truro City
0 - 2
Yeovil

FT(HT: 0-1)

Murphy (13'), Fisher (56')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Yeovil Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Truro City

All competitions

Last Game: Truro City 1-2 Torquay Utd
Monday, April 8 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Yeovil Town

All competitions

Last Game: Yeovil 1-3 Worthing
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Truro City had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.29%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Truro City win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.

Result
Truro City	Draw	Yeovil Town
18.56% ( -0.35)	23.88% ( 0.05)	57.56% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 46.77% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.88% (

-0.64)

53.12% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.3% (

-0.54)

74.7% (

0.54)

Truro City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.21% (

-0.77)

42.78% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.89% (

-0.66)

79.11% (

0.66)

Yeovil Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.74% (

-0.13)

18.26% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.69% (

-0.21)

49.31% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Truro City 18.56%

Yeovil Town 57.55%

Draw 23.87%

Truro City	Draw	Yeovil Town
1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.82% Total : 18.56%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.87%	0-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 11.29% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 6.4% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 57.55%