National League South Gameweek 9
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)

Horsham vs Chesham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Horsham

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Folkestone Invicta 1 - 1 Horsham
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Greg Luer

Chesham United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Chesham 1 - 2 Billericay
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Hisham Kasimu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Horsham win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Chesham United has a probability of 32.05% and a draw has a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Chesham United win is 1-2 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.33%).

Result

Horsham 43.95% (+1.39)
Draw 24% (+0.11)
Chesham United 32.05% (-1.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.27% (+0.37)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.75% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 21.25% (-0.54)
Over 2.5 56.36% (+0.65)
Under 2.5 43.64% (-0.65)
Over 3.5 33.27% (+0.58)
Under 3.5 66.73% (-0.57)
Over 4.5 18.9% (+0.37)
Under 4.5 81.1% (-0.38)

First Half Winner

Horsham 35.66% (+1.48)
Draw 38.76% (-0.54)
Chesham United 25.58% (-0.96)

Team To Score First

Horsham 53.42% (+1.45)
No Goal 5.44% (-0.06)
Chesham United 41.14% (-1.39)

Corners

Over 8 63.09% (+1.47)
Equal 8 11.26% (-0.07)
Under 8 25.65% (-1.41)
Over 9 51.1% (+1.38)
Equal 9 11.99% (+0.09)
Under 9 36.91% (-1.47)
Over 10.5 39.47% (+1.18)
Under 10.5 60.53% (-1.18)

Horsham Goals

Over 1.5 45.24% (+1.68)
Under 1.5 54.76% (-1.68)
Over 2.5 20.25% (+1.25)
Under 2.5 79.75% (-1.25)
Over 3.5 7.2% (+0.59)
Under 3.5 92.8% (-0.58)

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5 68.18% (-0.82)
Under 0.5 31.82% (+0.83)
Over 1.5 35.55% (-0.91)
Under 1.5 64.45% (+0.91)
Over 2.5 13.98% (-0.63)
Under 2.5 86.02% (+0.63)
Over 3.5 4.41% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 95.59% (+0.33)

Score analysis

Horsham 43.95%
Draw 24.02%
Chesham United 32.05%
Horsham
2-1 @ 9.42% (+0.17)
1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 6.67% (+0.22)
3-1 @ 4.85% (+0.26)
3-0 @ 3.74% (+0.24)
3-2 @ 3.28% (+0.07)
Other @ 7.19% (+0.59)
Total : 43.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.06% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.02%
Chesham United
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.14)
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.32)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.30)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.18)
Other @ 4.4% (-0.32)
Total : 32.05%

Head to Head

National League South
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ricky Aguiar 13' goal
  • goal Matt Lench 63'
  • goal Karl Oliyide 74'
National League South
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT