Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.