National League South | Gameweek 46
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
Torquay United

Hemel Hemps.
1 - 4
Torquay Utd

Ogungbo (61')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Young (29'), Cooke (34', 57', 72')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Torquay United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Hemel Hemps.
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in National League South

Torquay United

All competitions
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-0 Weymouth
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawTorquay United
35.36% (0.034999999999997 0.03)26.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)38.07% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.24% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.33% (0.029000000000003 0.03)52.67% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.69% (0.026 0.03)74.31% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.49% (0.035000000000011 0.04)28.51% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71% (0.045000000000002 0.05)64.29% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)26.92% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)62.24% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 35.36%
    Torquay United 38.06%
    Draw 26.56%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawTorquay United
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-1 @ 7.93% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.36%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 38.06%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Torquay Utd
1-0
Hemel Hemps.
Cooke (74' pen.)
Young (34')

White (80'), Wiltshire (90+5')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Torquay Utd
3-2
Hemel Hemps.
Hanson (16'), Archer (23'), Moxey (89')
McGavin (90')
Iaciofano (6' pen.), Ajayi (12')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Hemel Hemps.
3-2
Torquay Utd
Whittaker (9'), Judd (85'), Brown (87')
Jenkins-Davies (67'), Marshall (84')