Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.