Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radcliffe win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radcliffe win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest South Shields win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Radcliffe would win this match.