National League North | Gameweek 46
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Marine Travel Arena

Marine AFC
4 - 1
South Shields

Butler (4'), Grant (17'), Sinclair-Smith (33'), Wardle (42')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Crossley (76')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Marine AFC and South Shields.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chester 2-1 Marine AFC
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: South Shields 0-2 Spennymoor
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marine AFC win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest South Shields win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marine AFC would win this match.

Result
Marine AFCDrawSouth Shields
45.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)25.91% (0.010000000000002 0.01)28.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 51.76% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.89% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)52.1% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.17% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)73.82% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Marine AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)22.74% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.58% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)56.42% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
South Shields Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)33% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.41% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)69.59% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Marine AFC 45.73%
    South Shields 28.36%
    Draw 25.91%
Marine AFCDrawSouth Shields
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 45.73%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.5% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 28.36%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
South Shields
2-0
Marine AFC
Blackett (11' pen., 25')
Jenkins (67')

Butler (87')
rhs 2.0


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