Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marine AFC win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest South Shields win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marine AFC would win this match.