Bradford Park Avenue
National League North | Gameweek 16
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Horsfall Stadium

Bradford Park Av
1 - 2
Brackley Town

Longbottom (15')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Woods (65' pen.), Matwasa (73')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Bradford Park Avenue and Brackley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bradford Park Avenue

All competitions
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 0-1 Bradford Park Av
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North

Brackley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Boston
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 66.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 11.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.52%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Bradford Park AvenueDrawBrackley Town
11.99% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)21.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 38.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)56.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.49% (0.0029999999999966 0)77.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bradford Park Avenue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)54.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)87.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (0.0039999999999907 0)16.45% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.86% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)46.14% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bradford Park Avenue 11.99%
    Brackley Town 66.15%
    Draw 21.86%
Bradford Park AvenueDrawBrackley Town
1-0 @ 5.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 3.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 11.99%
1-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 8.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 2.72%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.86%
0-1 @ 16.09%
0-2 @ 14.52%
1-2 @ 8.89%
0-3 @ 8.74% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 5.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 3.94% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.64%
0-5 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 66.15%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Brackley Town
3-0
Bradford Park Av
Armson (74'), Dean (82'), Dyche (90+1')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Bradford Park Av
0-3
Brackley Town
Mitford (21'), Armson (36'), Ndlovu (52')
May 8, 2021 3pm
Bradford Park Av
0-0
Brackley Town
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Brackley Town
P-P
Bradford Park Av