Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.