Leagues Cup
Aug 13, 2026 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT GEODIS Park
  • Jorge Rodríguez 23' yellowcard
  • Orbelín Pineda 52' goal
  • Hugo Cuypers 90'+2' goal
  • goal Ahmed Qasem 1'
  • yellowcard Alex Muyl 42'
  • yellowcard Jack Maher 81'

Monterrey vs Nashville SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Monterrey

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 1.00am
Inter Miami 1 - 2 Monterrey

Nashville SC

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 10, 2026 1.00am
Nashville 4 - 1 Atletico San Luis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 1-2 (7.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Monterrey 45.53% (+0.01)
Draw 24.42% (+0.11)
Nashville SC 30.09% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.13% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.72% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 20.28% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 57.62% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 42.38% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 34.71% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 65.29% (-0.27)
Over 4.5 20.37% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 79.63% (-0.24)

First Half Winner

Monterrey 33.62% (-0.09)
Draw 41.5% (+0.12)
Nashville SC 24.88% (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Monterrey 53.41% (-0.12)
No Goal 5.41%
Nashville SC 41.18% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 52.65% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.8%
Under 8 35.55% (-0.03)
Over 9 41.1% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.55% (+0.02)
Under 9 47.35% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 30.72% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 69.28% (-0.02)

Monterrey Goals

Over 1.5 47.56% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 52.44% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 22.85% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 77.15% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 8.68% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 91.32% (-0.12)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 66.93% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 33.07% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 34.81% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 65.19% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 13.66% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 86.34% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 4.42% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 95.58% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Monterrey 45.53%
Draw 24.42%
Nashville SC 30.08%
Monterrey
2-1 @ 9.25%
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.2% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.39% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.46% (+0.09)
Total : 45.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.11% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.51% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.03)
Total : 24.42%
Nashville SC
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.2% (+0.05)
Total : 30.08%