Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 24

Aug 8, 2021 at 3.30am UK

Jeld-Wen Field

Portland
3 - 2
Salt Lake

Asprilla (10' pen.), Chara (29'), Mora (62')
Valeri (89')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Rusnak (40'), Kreilach (80')
Glad (6'), Menendez (13'), Luiz (45+1'), Herrera (48'), Chang (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Real Salt Lake
50.27%	23.88%	25.85%

Both teams to score 56.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.75%

45.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.41%

67.59%

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.94%

18.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.03%

48.96%

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.66%

31.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.3%

67.7%

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 50.27%

Real Salt Lake 25.85%

Draw 23.87%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Real Salt Lake
1-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 8.29% 3-1 @ 5.49% 3-0 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.55% Total : 50.27%	1-1 @ 11.23% 0-0 @ 5.66% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.87%	0-1 @ 6.57% 1-2 @ 6.52% 0-2 @ 3.81% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.8% Total : 25.85%