Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for DC United had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 30.08% | 25.52% | 44.4% |
| Both teams to score 54.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.37% | 49.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.35% | 71.65% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.54% | 30.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.33% | 66.67% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% | 22.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.22% | 55.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 8.08% 2-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 4.8% 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.1% Total : 30.08% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-2 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 4.55% 0-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.4% |