Europa League Gameweek 7
Jan 22, 2026 5.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Malmö Stadion
  • Anders Christiansen 62' yellowcard
  • Sead Haksabanovic 62' yellowcard
  • Taha Ali 72' yellowcard
  • Lasse Berg Johnsen 72' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gudjohnsen 84' yellowcard
  • goal Vasilije Kostov 16'
  • yellowcard Bruno Duarte 75'
  • yellowcard Mirko Ivanic 75'
  • yellowcard Nikola Stankovic 75'
  • yellowcard Tomas Handel 89'

Malmo vs Red Star Belgrade - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 8.00pm
Porto 2 - 1 Malmo

Red Star Belgrade

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 5.45pm
Sturm Graz 0 - 1 Red Star

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 52.28%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Malmo win was 2-1 (6.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Malmo 26.75% (+0.02)
Draw 20.97% (-0.04)
Red Star Belgrade 52.28% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.97% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.08% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 20.92% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 58.34% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 41.66% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 35.41% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 64.59% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 22.26% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 77.74% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Malmo 24.53% (+0.02)
Draw 36.71% (-0.01)
Red Star Belgrade 38.77% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Malmo 41.01% (+0.04)
No Goal 5.41% (-0.04)
Red Star Belgrade 53.58%

Corners

Over 8 55.9% (+0.01)
Equal 8 10.52%
Under 8 33.58% (-0.02)
Over 9 45.32% (+0.01)
Equal 9 10.58%
Under 9 44.1% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 35.46% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 64.54% (-0.01)

Malmo Goals

Over 1.5 30.57% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 69.43% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 12.1% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 87.9% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.11% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.89% (-0.02)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5 79.24% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 20.76% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 51.32% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 48.68% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 26.65% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 73.35% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 11.44% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 88.56% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Malmo 26.76%
Draw 20.97%
Red Star Belgrade 52.27%
Malmo
2-1 @ 6.48%
1-0 @ 5.95%
2-0 @ 3.59% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.66% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.94% (+0.03)
Total : 26.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.22% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.98%
3-3 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.97%
Red Star Belgrade
0-1 @ 9.56% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.5%
0-2 @ 7.92% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 5.52% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.08% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.42% (+0.03)
Other @ 11.27% (+0.03)
Total : 52.27%