Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenoble win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Martigues had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenoble win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Martigues win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grenoble in this match.