Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 54.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.