Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 63.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Reims had a probability of 17.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Reims win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lille in this match.