Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34

May 17, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
2 - 1
Reims

Cabella (37'), Akpom (86' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Akieme (60')
Okumu (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Reims, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 2-0 Lille
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Reims

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 0-2 St Etienne
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 63.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Reims had a probability of 17.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Reims win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lille in this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Reims
63.16% ( 0.01)	19.83% ( 0.1)	17.01% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 56.82% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.73% (

-0.68)

38.26% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.45% (

-0.73)

60.54% (

0.72)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.45% (

-0.2)

11.55% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.52% (

-0.43)

36.47% (

0.42)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.23% (

-0.55)

35.76% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.46% (

-0.57)

72.54% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Lille 63.16%

Reims 17.01%

Draw 19.83%

Lille	Draw	Reims
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.74% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.2% Total : 63.16%	1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.83%	1-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 17.01%