Liga MX Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2026 1.00am
1
3
HT : 1 3
FT Estadio La Corregidora
  • Mateo Coronel 27' yellowcard
  • Mateo Coronel 33' goal
  • yellowcard Amaury García 4'
  • goal Andrés Montaño 19'
  • goal Nicolás Ibáñez 44'
  • goal Osinachi Ebere 45'+2'

Queretaro vs Cruz Azul - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Queretaro

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2026 2.00am
Atletico San Luis 2 - 1 Queretaro
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Alí Ávila

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Last game
Oct 22, 2026 4.10am
Pachuca 1 - 2 Cruz Azul
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Nicolás Ibáñez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.03% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 23.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.02%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%) , while for a Queretaro win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Queretaro 23.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 25.03%
Cruz Azul 51.01% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.53% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 52.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.53% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Queretaro 20.18%
Draw 41.85%
Cruz Azul 37.97%

Team To Score First

Queretaro 33.51% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 6.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Cruz Azul 60.44%

Corners

Over 8 63.83%
Equal 8 10.13%
Under 8 26.05%
Over 9 53.02%
Equal 9 10.81%
Under 9 36.17%
Over 10.5 42.36%
Under 10.5 57.64%

Queretaro Goals

Over 1.5 27.87%
Under 1.5 72.13%
Over 2.5 9.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.46%
Under 3.5 97.54%

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5 80.29% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 19.71% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 49.36% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 50.64% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 23.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 76.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 8.87% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.13% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Queretaro 23.92%
Draw 25.03%
Cruz Azul 51.02%
Queretaro
1-0 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.29%
2-0 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 1.77%
3-0 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 23.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 25.03%
Cruz Azul
0-1 @ 10.61%
1-2 @ 10.02% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.5%
1-3 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 51.02%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 16
Apr 22, 2026 2.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio La Corregidora
  • Juan Pablo Cázares Torres 29' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Márquez 45'+2' goal
  • Jaime Gómez 63' yellowcard
  • Fernando González 63' yellowcard
  • W. Madrid 78' yellowcard
  • B. Parra 78' yellowcard
  • goal Jeremy Márquez 9'
  • yellowcard Luka Romero 62'
  • yellowcard Osinachi Ebere 62'
  • yellowcard Amaury Morales 71'
  • yellowcard Amaury García 80'
  • yellowcard Mateo Levy 80'
Liga MX
Sep 25, 2025 1.00am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 8
Feb 24, 2025 1.05am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Azteca
  • Willer Ditta 4' yellowcard
  • Willer Ditta 4' yellowcard
  • Angel Sepulveda 76' goal
  • Angel Sepulveda 76' goal
  • yellowcard Adonis Preciado 88'
  • yellowcard Adonis Preciado 88'
Liga MX Gameweek 5
Aug 24, 2024 2.00am
0
2
HT : 0 4
FT Estadio La Corregidora
  • goal 4'
  • goal <TBD> 39'
  • goal Carlos Rotondi 45'+1'
  • goal Carlos Rotondi 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Faravelli 71'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Faravelli 71'
  • yellowcard Jorge Sanchez 85'
  • yellowcard Jorge Sanchez 85'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Giakoumakis 87'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Giakoumakis 87'
  • yellowcard Kevin Mier 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Kevin Mier 90'+3'
  • goal Amaury Morales Rosas 90'+10'
  • goal Amaury Morales Rosas 90'+10'
Liga MX Gameweek 5
Feb 3, 2024 1.00am
1
3
HT : 2 6
FT Estadio La Corregidora
  • Pablo Barrera 5' goal
  • Pablo Barrera 5' goal
  • Emanuel Gularte 25' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Gularte 25' yellowcard
  • Jordan Sierra 44' yellowcard
  • Jordan Sierra 44' yellowcard
  • Samuel Sosa 53' yellowcard
  • Samuel Sosa 53' yellowcard
  • Pablo Nicolas Ortiz 55' yellowcard
  • Pablo Nicolas Ortiz 55' yellowcard
  • Oscar Manzanarez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Oscar Manzanarez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Ignacio Rivero 29'
  • goal Ignacio Rivero 29'
  • goal Carlos Uriel 42'
  • goal Carlos Uriel 42'
  • goal Gabriel Fernandez 45'+1'
  • goal Gabriel Fernandez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Willer Ditta 53'
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Sep 24, 2023 11.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Azteca
  • Carlos Rotondi 29' yellowcard
  • Carlos Rotondi 45'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Federico Lertora 33'
  • goal Raul Martin Sandoval 50'
  • goal Jose Zuniga 77'
  • yellowcard Jose Zuniga 78'
  • goal Nicolas Cordero 87'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Gularte 90'+2'