Liga MX Gameweek 11
Oct 11, 2026 12.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio La Corregidora
  • Santiago Homenchenko 25' goal
  • Denilson Munoz 50' goal
  • B. Parra 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eugenio Pizzuto 20'
  • yellowcard Walter Clar 35'
  • yellowcard Miguel Herrera 57'
  • yellowcard Nico Carrera 71'

Queretaro vs Atlante - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Queretaro

All competitions
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 12.07am
Guadalajara 0 - 2 Queretaro
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Santiago Homenchenko

Atlante

All competitions
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 2.00am
Atlante 4 - 2 Monterrey
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Eugenio Pizzuto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Queretaro win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Atlante has a probability of 34.78% and a draw has a probability of 26.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Atlante win is 0-1 (8.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.79%).

Result

Queretaro 39.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 26.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Atlante 34.78% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.86%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 50.86%
Under 2.5 49.14%
Over 3.5 28.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.63% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Queretaro 25.46%
Draw 44.42%
Atlante 30.12%

Team To Score First

Queretaro 45.47%
No Goal 6.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Atlante 47.94% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 60.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 28.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 48.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.42%
Under 9 39.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 37.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 62.1% ▼ (-0.01)

Queretaro Goals

Over 1.5 38.98%
Under 1.5 61.02%
Over 2.5 15.89%
Under 2.5 84.11%
Over 3.5 5.07%
Under 3.5 94.93%

Atlante Goals

Over 0.5 69.46% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 30.54% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 35.64% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 64.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 13.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 86.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.66% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Queretaro 39.07%
Draw 26.16%
Atlante 34.77%
Queretaro
1-0 @ 9.27%
2-1 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.02%
3-0 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.59%
Other @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 39.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.16%
Atlante
0-1 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 34.77%