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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Marseille

Lens
2 - 2
Marseille

Sotoca (46'), Medina (61')
Fofana (43'), Doucoure (48'), Medina (63'), Jean (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Thauvin (37'), Milik (45+2')
Lirola (60'), Gonzalez (90+1')

Preview: Lens vs. Marseille - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Marseille will be looking to bring an end to their four-match losing run in Ligue 1 when they travel to Lens on Wednesday evening.

Les Phoceens have been on a terrible run that has seen them slip down to ninth, two points behind opponents Lens having played two games fewer, leading to a fan revolt.


Match preview

Marseille manager Andre Villas-Boas pictured on January 23, 2021© Reuters

Marseille were sitting fourth in the division just six weeks ago, but a return of five points from the last 24 on offer has ended any lingering title aspirations.

Indeed, with 18 games of their league campaign to go, the main focus for boss Andre Villas-Boas now is to make up the deficit on the top four to qualify for the Champions League.

Even if the Portuguese achieves that, however, he will not be around to guide Marseille into Europe again next season.

The frustrated former Tottenham Hotspur and Chelsea manager announced last week that he will leave the club at the end of the campaign.

After going four matches without a win and losing the last three of those, most recently going down 3-1 to Monaco, Marseille desperately need to stop the rut.

Tensions boiled over at the weekend as around 300 supporters stormed the club's training ground, forcing the postponement of the meeting with Rennes.

Lens head coach Franck Haise pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Lens will be aiming to inflict further misery on their visitors as they look to keep themselves in contention for a European spot.

The Blood and Gold have enjoyed an impressive first campaign back in the French top flight, winning 10 and drawing four of their 22 matches thus far.

A 2-1 win at Montpellier on Saturday leaves Lens seventh in the division, and they will head into this showdown with Marseille full of confidence.

Franck Haise's charges won the reverse fixture 1-0 last month to end a five-game winless streak against Les Phoceens - Simon Banza scoring the only goal at the Stade Velodrome.

Another victory on Wednesday and the hosts will have every right to dream of European football. Defeat for Marseille, meanwhile, and Villas-Boas's exit may come even sooner than expected.

Lens Ligue 1 form: LLDWLW

Marseille Ligue 1 form: LWDLLL
Marseille form (all competitions): WDLLLL


Team News

Marseille's Nemanja Radonjic celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 23, 2021© Reuters

Lens remain without defender Cheick Traore, while attacking midfielder Ignatius Ganago missed the win over Montpellier.

Jonathan Gradit also missed that most recent match through suspension but is now back in contention, while Massadio Haidara is among those pushing for a recall.

Gael Kakuta scored against Montpellier to take his tally for the season to nine goals in 22 outings and seems certain to start again on Wednesday.

As for Marseille, they have been given an extra week's rest following the postponement of the Rennes match.

Jordan Amavi and Boubacar Kamara may be back in contention, though Villas-Boas is unlikely to risk the fitness of either player.

After returning from injury last time out, Steve Mandanda will once again get the nod in goal.

Lens possible starting lineup:
Leca; Michelin, Fortes, Medina; Clauss, Doucoure, Fofana, Haidara; Kakuta; Sotoca, Banza

Marseille possible starting lineup:
Mandanda; Lirola, Gonzalez, Caleta-Car, Sakai; Balerdi, Gueye; Thauvin, Cuisance, Radonjic; Benedetto


SM words green background

We say: Lens 1-0 Marseille

Taking all competitions into account, Marseille have lost four games in a row and gone five without a victory.

All is not well at Stade Velodrome and we can see that losing run being prolonged with defeat at Stade Bollaert-Delelis against a Lens side on the up.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



ID:433176:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect7375:
Written by
Daniel Lewis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Lens vs Marseille

Lens
49.2%
Draw
22.2%
Marseille
28.6%
63
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Marseille manager Andre Villas-Boas pictured on January 23, 2021
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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