National League South
Gameweek
8
-
Sam Beard
51'
-
Ollie Black
65'
-
Jack Bates
90'+2'
Worthing vs AFC Hornchurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.05%) and 1-3 (5.01%). The likeliest Worthing win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result
Worthing
37.24%
▼
(-0.57)
Draw
21.93%
▼
(-0.19)
AFC Hornchurch
40.83%
▲
(+0.75)
Both Teams to Score:
69.59%
▲
(+0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5
69.66%
▲
(+0.89)
Under 2.5
30.34%
▼
(-0.89)
Over 3.5
48.4%
▲
(+1.06)
Under 3.5
51.6%
▼
(-1.06)
Over 4.5
29.28%
▲
(+0.95)
Under 4.5
70.71%
▼
(-0.95)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5
82.68%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 0.5
17.31%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 1.5
52.33%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 1.5
47.67%
▼
(-0.26)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5
84.15%
▲
(+0.67)
Under 0.5
15.84%
▼
(-0.67)
Over 1.5
54.97%
▲
(+1.22)
Under 1.5
45.03%
▼
(-1.22)
Score analysis
Worthing
37.24%
Draw
21.93%
AFC Hornchurch
40.83%
Worthing
2-1
@
7.77%
▼
(-0.14)
1-0 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.18)
3-2 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.03)
4-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 37.24%
1-0 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.18)
3-2 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.03)
4-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 37.24%
Draw
1-1
@
8.86%
▼
(-0.20)
2-2 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.14)
3-3 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.93%
2-2 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.14)
3-3 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.93%
AFC Hornchurch
1-2
@
8.16%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.11)
2-4 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.10)
0-4 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.06)
3-4 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 40.83%
0-1 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.11)
2-4 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.10)
0-4 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.06)
3-4 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 40.83%