Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s win with a probability of 52.14%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.42%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s would win this match.