Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.