Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Veres win with a probability of 48.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 24.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Veres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Veres would win this match.