Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Union Estepona had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.01%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Union Estepona win it was 1-0 (5.69%).