Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 55.17%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 22.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.