Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 14.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.