Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.79%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.54%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.