Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Spartans had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Spartans win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.