Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.