Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for an Adana Demirspor win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.