Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 53.75%. A win for West Ham United Under-21s had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest West Ham United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.