National League North Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Court Place Farm
  • Jayden Carbon 32' yellowcard
  • Jacob Roddy 49' goal
  • Tom Scott 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Lloyd 55'
  • goal Danny Philliskirk 62'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Knight-Percival 87'
  • yellowcard Tom Moore 90'+3'

Oxford City vs Southport - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
Radcliffe 1 - 3 Oxford City
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Zac McEachran

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
Southport 2 - 0 Rushall Olympic
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Danny Lloyd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 56.08%. A win for Southport had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Oxford City 56.08% (-0.04)
Draw 21.36% (+0.01)
Southport 22.56% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.15% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.95% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 37.05% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 40.76% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 59.24% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 22.75% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 77.25% (-0.03)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5 86.83%
Under 0.5 13.17%
Over 1.5 60.13%
Under 1.5 39.87% (+0.01)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5 70.43% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 29.57% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 34.4% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 65.6% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Oxford City 56.08%
Draw 21.36%
Southport 22.56%
Oxford City
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.9% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.41% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.01% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.74% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.35%
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 56.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.62% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.94% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.9% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.36%
Southport
1-2 @ 5.86% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.75% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.89% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.41% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 22.56%