Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.