Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.