Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.