FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 13, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

The Den

Millwall
3 - 0
Dag & Red

Ivanovic (30'), De Norre (70'), Bangura-Williams (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rees (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's FA Cup clash between Millwall and Dagenham & Redbridge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-2 Millwall
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Dag & Red
Wednesday, January 8 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Dagenham & Redbridge
55.74% ( -1.04)	24.24% ( 0.36)	20.03% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 48.04% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.35% (

-0.56)

52.64% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.71% (

-0.49)

74.29% (

0.49)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.23% (

-0.6)

18.77% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.83% (

-1.02)

50.17% (

1.02)

Dagenham & Redbridge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.14% (

0.43)

40.86% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.57% (

0.38)

77.43% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Millwall 55.73%

Dagenham & Redbridge 20.03%

Draw 24.23%

Millwall	Draw	Dagenham & Redbridge
1-0 @ 12.82% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.09% Total : 55.73%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.23%	0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.22% Total : 20.03%