Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Bruno Fernandes 45'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Leandro Trossard 45'+1'
  • goal Declan Rice 74'

Manchester United vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2025 7.30pm
Man Utd 3 - 2 Ipswich
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Amad Diallo

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2025 7.30pm
Nott'm Forest 0 - 0 Arsenal
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Kai Havertz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Manchester United 29.26% (-0.55)
Draw 23.27% (-0.02)
Arsenal 47.46% (+0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.2% (-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.01% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 39.99% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 37.64% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 62.35% (+0.28)
Over 4.5 20.28% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 79.71% (+0.22)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 73.85% (-0.49)
Under 0.5 26.15% (+0.49)
Over 1.5 38.77% (-0.66)
Under 1.5 61.22% (+0.66)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 82.87% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 17.13% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 52.65% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 47.34% (-0.20)

Score analysis

Manchester United 29.26%
Draw 23.26%
Arsenal 47.46%
Manchester United
2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.09)
1-0 @ 6.01% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.03% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 29.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.59% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.48% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.26%
Arsenal
1-2 @ 9.35% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 7.9% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 6.97% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 5.5% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 4.1% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 3.69% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.43% (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.81% (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.63% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 47.46%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 12, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET Emirates Stadium
  • Mikel Arteta 30' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 63' goal
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 70' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lisandro Martinez 29'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fernandes 38'
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 49'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 52'
  • yellowcard Kobbie Mainoo 56'
  • redcard Diogo Dalot 61'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 70'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Dec 4, 2024 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Jurrien Maduro 54' goal
  • Oleksandr Zinchenko 66' yellowcard
  • William Saliba 73' goal
  • yellowcard Tyrell Malacia 44'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 45'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 51'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 28, 2024 1.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Gabriel Jesus 26' goal
  • Gabriel Martinelli 81' goal
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 10'
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Old Trafford
  • goal Leandro Trossard 20'
  • yellowcard Bukayo Saka 71'
  • yellowcard David Raya 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Martin Odegaard 28' goal
  • Bukayo Saka 40' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Jesus 89' yellowcard
  • Declan Rice 90'+6' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 90'+11' goal
  • goal Marcus Rashford 27'
  • yellowcard Victor Lindelof 38'
  • yellowcard Lisandro Martinez 65'
  • yellowcard Andre Onana 68'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 22, 2023 10.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
ET MetLife Stadium
  • Gabriel Jesus 85' yellowcard
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 30'
  • goal Jadon Sancho 37'
  • yellowcard Lisandro Martinez 43'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 73'

Build-up

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