Premier League Gameweek 16
Man City
Dec 15, 2024 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Man Utd
  • Josko Gvardiol 36' goal
  • Kyle Walker 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rasmus Hojlund 40'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 88'
  • goal Amad Diallo 90'

Manchester City vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
Crystal Palace 2 - 2 Man City
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Erling Haaland

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2024 5.30pm
Man Utd 2 - 3 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Amad Diallo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 65.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Manchester City 65.79% ▼ (-1.37)
Draw 18.12% ▲ (+0.60)
Manchester United 16.08% ▲ (+0.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.19% ▼ (-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.3% ▼ (-1.38)
Under 2.5 31.7% ▲ (+1.38)
Over 3.5 46.79% ▼ (-1.64)
Under 3.5 53.21% ▲ (+1.63)
Over 4.5 27.85% ▼ (-1.46)
Under 4.5 72.15% ▲ (+1.45)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 90.96% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 0.5 9.04% ▲ (+0.67)
Over 1.5 69.24% ▼ (-1.63)
Under 1.5 30.76% ▲ (+1.62)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 67.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 32.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 30.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 69.28% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Manchester City 65.79%
Draw 18.12%
Manchester United 16.08%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.14)
1-0 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.32)
3-0 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.23)
3-2 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.21)
4-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.13)
5-1 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.19)
5-0 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.17)
5-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 5.13%
Total : 65.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.35)
2-2 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.22)
3-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 18.12%
Manchester United
1-2 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.20)
0-1 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.25)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 16.08%

Head to Head

Community Shield
Man City
Aug 10, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Man Utd
  • Matheus Nunes 68' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 85' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 89' goal
  • goal Alejandro Garnacho 82'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Garnacho 85'
FA Cup
Man City
May 25, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Wembley Stadium
Man Utd
  • Jeremy Doku 87' goal
  • goal Alejandro Garnacho 30'
  • goal Kobbie Mainoo 39'
  • yellowcard Kobbie Mainoo 45'
  • yellowcard Scott McTominay 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Julian Alvarez 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Man City
Mar 3, 2024 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Etihad Stadium
Man Utd
  • Phil Foden 56' goal
  • Phil Foden 80' goal
  • Erling Haaland 90'+1' goal
  • goal Marcus Rashford 8'
  • yellowcard Erik ten Hag 57'
  • yellowcard Raphael Varane 68'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Man Utd
Oct 29, 2023 3.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Old Trafford
Man City
  • Andre Onana 26' yellowcard
  • Sofyan Amrabat 42' yellowcard
  • Antony 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fernandes 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Erling Haaland 26'
  • yellowcard Phil Foden 42'
  • goal Erling Haaland 49'
  • goal Phil Foden 80'
FA Cup
Man City
Jun 3, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Man Utd
  • Ilkay Gundogan 1' goal
  • Ilkay Gundogan 51' goal
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 33'
Premier League Gameweek 20
Man Utd
Jan 14, 2023 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Man City
  • Bruno Fernandes 78' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 82' goal
  • goal Jack Grealish 60'

Form Data

Juventus 2 - 0 Man City
Crystal Palace 2 - 2 Man City
Man City 3 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Liverpool 2 - 0 Man City
Man City 3 - 3 Feyenoord
Man City 0 - 4 Spurs
Plzen 1 - 2 Man Utd
Man Utd 2 - 3 Nott'm Forest
Arsenal 2 - 0 Man Utd
Man Utd 4 - 0 Everton
Man Utd 3 - 2 Bodo/Glimt
Ipswich 1 - 1 Man Utd

Build-up

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