Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Beitar Jerusalem had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.