Conference League
Oct 3, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stockhorn Arena
  • Albian Hajdari 8' yellowcard
  • Antonios Papadopoulos 34' goal
  • Martim Marques 56' goal
  • Daniel dos Santos Correia 90'+2' goal

Lugano vs HJK Helsinki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions

HJK Helsinki

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result

Lugano 45.59% (+0.30)
Draw 23.36% (+0.11)
HJK Helsinki 31.05% (-0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.97% (-0.60)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.55% (-0.70)
Under 2.5 39.44% (+0.70)
Over 3.5 38.21% (-0.73)
Under 3.5 61.79% (+0.73)
Over 4.5 20.72% (-0.58)
Under 4.5 79.28% (+0.58)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5 82.35% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 17.64% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 51.74% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 48.25% (+0.28)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5 75.25% (-0.58)
Under 0.5 24.75% (+0.58)
Over 1.5 40.69% (-0.82)
Under 1.5 59.31% (+0.82)

Score analysis

Lugano 45.59%
Draw 23.35%
HJK Helsinki 31.05%
Lugano
2-1 @ 9.18% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 7.58% (+0.21)
2-0 @ 6.57% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 5.31% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.8% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.65% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 45.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.57% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 4.37% (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.35%
HJK Helsinki
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.1% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 4.26% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 31.05%