Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Charleroi in this match.