Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 49.71%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.