Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.