Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-0 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Inter Milan |
33.55% ( 0.15) | 27.9% ( -0.11) | 38.55% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 47.89% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.96% ( 0.44) | 58.04% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.28% ( 0.34) | 78.72% ( -0.34) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.64% ( 0.32) | 32.35% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.14% ( 0.36) | 68.86% ( -0.37) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.79% ( 0.19) | 29.2% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.85% ( 0.23) | 65.15% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.55% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 38.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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