Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 52.61%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.72%) and 0-1 (6.57%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Dordrecht in this match.